Douglas Haig vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
7º
6º
22
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 4
DHA
23%
28%
50%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
DHA
1 - 1
9DJ
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
DHA
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 1
GYT
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 1
CIB
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
IND
41%
29%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
GIM
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IND
3 - 2
LIN
43%
29%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |