Douglas Haig vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
7º
6º
22
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 4
DHA
23%
28%
50%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
DHA
1 - 1
9DJ
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
DHA
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 1
GYT
39%
30%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 1
CIB
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
IND
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
GIM
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IND
3 - 2
LIN
43%
29%
27%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |