Douglas Haig vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
1º
44
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DPR
4 - 0
DHA
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DHA
3 - 0
DFR
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
3 - 0
DHA
27%
29%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DHA
4 - 2
UNI
64%
22%
13%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 1
DHA
20%
27%
54%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
GIM
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IND
3 - 2
LIN
43%
29%
27%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
SLP
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DPR
2 - 2
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
DFR
41%
26%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |