Douglas Haig vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
1º
44
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
DPR
0 - 1
DHA
27%
28%
46%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 1
DFR
59%
25%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 2
DHA
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 1
UNI
55%
25%
19%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
DHA
26%
27%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 1
GIM
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
LIN
62%
24%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 2
SLP
22%
26%
52%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
DPR
1 - 1
LIN
54%
25%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
DFR
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |