Douglas Haig vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
1º
40
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DFR
1 - 2
DHA
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 1
SPB
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
DHA
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 0
GIM
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
DHA
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DPR
2 - 2
GIM
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
DPR
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DPR
0 - 3
SLP
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
DPR
22%
25%
54%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DPR
3 - 3
DFR
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |