Douglas Haig vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 1
DHA
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
DHA
1 - 0
CFE
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
SAR
0 - 1
DHA
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
DHA
2 - 2
SLP
49%
27%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CAG
1 - 0
DHA
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
DPR
1 - 2
CEN
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CFE
3 - 1
DPR
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
DPR
2 - 0
SAR
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SLP
1 - 1
DPR
44%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
DPR
0 - 0
SAR
39%
28%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |