Douglas Haig vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
2º
1º
9
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JAN
1 - 1
DHA
21%
28%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DHA
1 - 0
SAR
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 0
DHA
16%
26%
58%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 2
DHA
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
DHA
1 - 0
SLP
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CDN
1 - 2
BUC
23%
27%
50%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
CDN
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 0
IND
32%
31%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 0
CDN
34%
26%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SOL
3 - 1
CDN
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |