Dostlik Tashkent vs Aral Nukus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
8º
7º
31
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 49 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 39 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 28 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 21 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 99% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dostlik Tashkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
DOS
1 - 2
MAS
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
XOR
0 - 2
DOS
35%
26%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
DOS
1 - 2
BUX
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SHO
3 - 1
DOS
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
DOS
2 - 1
FKO
79%
14%
8%
|
55 | 21 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
XOR
3 - 1
ORO
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 0
BUX
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SHO
4 - 0
ORO
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 1
FKO
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ORO
0 - 0
QOQ
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |