Dostlik Tashkent vs Buxoro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
8º
7º
42
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 49 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 39 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 28 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 21 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 95% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dostlik Tashkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SHO
2 - 0
DOS
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
DOS
1 - 2
FKO
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 6 | 58 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 0
DOS
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
DOS
0 - 5
SOG
45%
23%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
DOS
0 - 5
PAK
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Buxoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
BUX
0 - 0
XOR
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
QOQ
0 - 1
BUX
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
SHO
0 - 0
BUX
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
AND
1 - 0
BUX
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
BUX
0 - 1
OLM
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |