Dorostol vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 2
CHE
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 0
DOR
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 1
SVE
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
LYU
2 - 1
DOR
53%
26%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 2
CHE
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
NES
0 - 0
NEF
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NES
1 - 0
SVE
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LYU
2 - 3
NES
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
NES
0 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |