Dorostol vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LUD
3 - 1
DOR
78%
16%
7%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DOR
2 - 1
SPA
38%
28%
33%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
DOB
0 - 0
DOR
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
DOR
1 - 0
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SVE
1 - 0
DOR
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
NES
2 - 0
DOB
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 0
NES
43%
25%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NES
1 - 2
SVE
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LYU
2 - 0
NES
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
NES
1 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |