Dorostol vs Ustrem Donchevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
12º
9º
14
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 29 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
92% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 1 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 2
DOR
51%
21%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 1
SHU
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AKS
0 - 1
DOR
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 1
CHE
5%
15%
79%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FSV
1 - 1
DOR
72%
16%
13%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
UST
1 - 4
CMV
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SVE
3 - 1
UST
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UST
1 - 1
CHE
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UST
2 - 0
FKR
35%
22%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 0
UST
51%
20%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |