Dorogi FC vs Újpest FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
9º
6º
12
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 65 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 63 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 51 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 44 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 44 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 42 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 42 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 42 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 35 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 31 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 30 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 21 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorogi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
2 - 1
BSC
27%
27%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ERD
0 - 0
DOR
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ESE
0 - 5
DOR
13%
16%
71%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 1
PUS
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ESM
4 - 1
DOR
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UJP
1 - 0
BUD
16%
20%
64%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
UJP
0 - 1
BSC
23%
25%
53%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
III
4 - 5
UJP
84%
12%
5%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
UJP
1 - 4
TIS
15%
21%
64%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UJP
0 - 2
HOD
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |