Dornbreite Lübeck vs Nordmark Satrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
46.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
15º
12º
37
5º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 1
WEF
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ECK
3 - 1
DOR
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 4
DOR
46%
21%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
EIC
3 - 0
DOR
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VFR
2 - 0
DOR
64%
19%
18%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nordmark Satrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
HEI
3 - 1
NOR
64%
18%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NOR
5 - 0
ITK
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +3 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 1
PRR
33%
22%
46%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 1
WEF
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PRR
2 - 0
NOR
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |