Dornbreite Lübeck vs SV Preußen Reinfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
15º
12º
47
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WEF
2 - 2
DOR
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 3
FLE
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HEI
3 - 0
DOR
62%
18%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 4
UNI
12%
15%
73%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 1
ECK
35%
21%
44%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SV Preußen Reinfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ITK
3 - 1
PRR
61%
17%
21%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PRR
4 - 0
HOH
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ECK
1 - 1
PRR
50%
21%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
EIC
2 - 1
PRR
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PRR
3 - 3
UNI
13%
15%
72%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |