Dornbreite Lübeck vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
59%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
15º
12º
32
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 1
DOR
67%
17%
17%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DOR
3 - 1
WEF
50%
21%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 1
DOR
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 2
ECK
24%
20%
57%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
KIL
7 - 0
DOR
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LUB
4 - 4
WEF
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 3
LUB
38%
21%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LUB
2 - 2
BOR
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HEI
3 - 4
LUB
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LUB
7 - 1
HUS
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |