Dornbreite Lübeck vs Husumer SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
16º
14º
23
4º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 3
HEI
16%
17%
67%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 1
BOR
22%
20%
58%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
FCP
5 - 0
DOR
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 9
TOD
9%
14%
77%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GWS
1 - 1
DOR
48%
20%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Husumer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GWS
3 - 2
HUS
45%
21%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HUS
0 - 1
TOD
8%
13%
79%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HUS
1 - 1
GWS
52%
20%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FLE
5 - 3
HUS
81%
12%
8%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HUS
1 - 0
WEF
35%
22%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |