Dornbirn vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornbirn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
WAT
3 - 2
DOR
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
DOR
0 - 2
SCR
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 2
VIE
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
DOR
0 - 5
FCL
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SWB
1 - 2
DOR
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 6
SCH
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
USC
1 - 2
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 3
SVH
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 2
STJ
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 1
HAR
21%
23%
57%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |