Dornbirn vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornbirn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
SCR
1 - 0
DOR
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
4 - 0
SVS
72%
16%
12%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
5 - 3
FCW
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
SWB
0 - 3
DOR
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 0
STJ
61%
21%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
FCW
2 - 1
HAR
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 2
SVA
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
TSV
4 - 1
HAR
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 2
FCW
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 1
SVA
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |