Dornberg vs Arminia Bielefeld II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
73.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
WER
0 - 0
DOR
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DOR
0 - 0
SPR
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
GUT
1 - 2
DOR
77%
15%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ERN
2 - 1
DOR
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DOR
0 - 0
RWA
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ABI
2 - 1
NEU
78%
14%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUT
0 - 3
ABI
17%
21%
63%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ABI
3 - 2
WHE
85%
10%
4%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HAM
2 - 3
ABI
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ABI
3 - 1
ZWE
85%
11%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |