Dornach vs Concordia Lausanne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
5º
5º
38
7º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 4
DOR
14%
17%
70%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 0
LIE
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BUB
2 - 2
DOR
35%
22%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 1
BBB
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 4
DOR
66%
19%
16%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Concordia Lausanne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
GUM
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 1
CON
34%
23%
44%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
BIN
52%
20%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 1
CON
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 1
CON
57%
19%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |