Dorense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 2
DOR
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
CON
3 - 2
DOR
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 1
AFP
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 0
SER
30%
25%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 0
CON
11%
17%
73%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 2
AFP
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
LAG
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 0
CON
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
35%
29%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
3 - 0
BOC
53%
24%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |