Dorense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SER
5 - 0
DOR
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
5 - 3
EST
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
DOR
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 3
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAG
0 - 1
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAG
4 - 0
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 3
LAG
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
LAG
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |