Dorense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
DOR
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 1
DOR
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 2
EST
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 1
ROS
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ROS
2 - 2
DOR
24%
22%
54%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
SER
2 - 0
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
ITA
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 0
LAG
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |