Dorense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 3
DOR
47%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
DOR
34%
23%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DOR
3 - 1
LAG
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
ITA
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
0 - 0
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |