Dorense vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
DOR
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 3
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
CON
3 - 1
DOR
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 3
CON
18%
22%
59%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SER
4 - 3
DOR
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
EST
70%
20%
10%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
ITA
32%
29%
40%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
PAR
10%
21%
69%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |