Dorense vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CON
4 - 1
DOR
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 1
DOR
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 1
ITA
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
COR
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 0
EST
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |