Dorense vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
OSE
3 - 1
DOR
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DOR
2 - 0
AFP
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 0
DOR
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
SER
1 - 3
DOR
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 4
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CON
4 - 0
BOC
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
8%
15%
77%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ALT
0 - 1
CON
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |