Dorense vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
65.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 2
DOR
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SER
5 - 0
DOR
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
5 - 3
EST
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CON
0 - 0
ITA
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
0 - 1
CON
14%
21%
64%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
CON
3 - 0
ABS
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
SAL
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 2
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |