Dorense vs Botafogo ASF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+140%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
ITA
26%
26%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
DOR
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
DOR
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 1
EST
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
ABS
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
ABS
78%
14%
9%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 4
SER
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 2
ITA
14%
21%
66%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 0
ABS
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
ABS
77%
14%
9%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | +1 |