Dorense vs Atlético Gloriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
CON
3 - 2
DOR
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
EST
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
AFP
39%
24%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
4 - 1
DOR
73%
18%
10%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FFC
3 - 0
DOR
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
ATG
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 0
SER
14%
21%
65%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
ATG
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 1
FFC
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
1 - 2
ATG
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |