Dorense vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
4 - 1
DOR
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FFC
3 - 0
DOR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
ITA
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
DOR
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 1
DOR
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
AFP
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
1 - 2
ATG
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 0
AME
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FFC
3 - 3
AFP
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FFC
6 - 0
AFP
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |