Dorense vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 4
DOR
9%
15%
76%
|
34 | 5 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
LAG
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DOR
3 - 1
EST
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
EST
0 - 3
DOR
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 3
SER
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
CON
4 - 2
AFP
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
AFP
3 - 1
AMA
38%
23%
40%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
4 - 0
AFP
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
7 - 1
AFP
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -3 |