Dorense vs AD Carmópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
AME
1 - 0
DOR
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
DOR
0 - 2
FFC
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
DOR
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 1
ITA
12%
23%
65%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
AD Carmópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
ADC
1 - 2
SER
12%
19%
69%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ITA
2 - 1
ADC
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ADC
0 - 1
OSE
40%
24%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OSE
1 - 4
ADC
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 0
ADC
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |