Dorense vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 1
DOR
32%
22%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 1
SER
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SOC
0 - 0
DOR
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 1
AMA
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 2
DOR
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
ITA
27%
27%
46%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
SOC
47%
26%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
GUA
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
LAG
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |