Dorense vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 1
DOR
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 1
ITA
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 3
DOR
47%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
DOR
34%
23%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
AMA
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 0
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 6
SER
22%
26%
53%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
SOC
49%
26%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |