Dorchester Town vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorchester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 0
DOR
39%
28%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 0
CHM
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 0
EAS
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 2
DOR
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 1
BAT
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FAR
0 - 3
WEL
26%
25%
48%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
WEL
3 - 2
STA
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
WEL
2 - 0
EAS
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HAY
2 - 1
WEL
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
WEL
2 - 2
SUT
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |