Dorchester Town vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorchester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SUT
3 - 1
DOR
70%
19%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
WHI
0 - 1
DOR
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 3
EAS
32%
25%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 3
EAS
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
4 - 0
MAI
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 2
WOK
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
THU
1 - 4
WEL
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 0
EAS
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 2
TON
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 4
WEL
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |