Dorchester Town vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorchester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
0 - 1
DOR
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 3
SAL
32%
25%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
DAR
1 - 1
DOR
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 0
DOR
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
DOR
3 - 3
FAR
32%
24%
45%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
THU
0 - 2
CHM
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CHM
1 - 0
THU
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
WOK
17%
24%
60%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 2
THU
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
THU
1 - 2
STA
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |