Dorchester Town vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorchester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
THU
2 - 0
DOR
26%
26%
49%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
WOK
4 - 1
DOR
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 2
DOR
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
WES
0 - 4
DOR
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DOR
3 - 6
HAV
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SUT
3 - 2
CHM
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CHM
1 - 2
WEL
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
DOV
2 - 1
CHM
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHM
1 - 0
HAM
68%
18%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 0
CHM
23%
24%
54%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |