Apertura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Dorados vs Toros Neza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
REB
5 - 0
DOR
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
UAT
2 - 2
DOR
51%
23%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DOR
4 - 3
TOR
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 2
DOR
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
DOR
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 3
TOR
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAZ
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VER
0 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 2
REB
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |