Dorados vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
EST
1 - 1
DOR
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
DOR
3 - 1
ATS
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MOR
3 - 3
DOR
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
DOR
1 - 3
PAC
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
DOR
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIG
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
SAP
3 - 2
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |