Clausura Ascenso MX Final
Global 3-1
Dorados vs Atl. San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
DOR
2 - 1
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 2
DOR
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 1
ALE
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 0
DOR
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
DOR
2 - 1
MER
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 0
UAT
47%
27%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
UAT
2 - 0
AUR
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NEC
0 - 1
AUR
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
UAT
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAÑ
0 - 3
AUR
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |