Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Dorados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 0
DOR
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
DOR
2 - 1
MER
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
IRA
0 - 0
DOR
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
2 - 1
ALE
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 1
DOR
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 0
DOR
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TEP
0 - 3
ALE
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 1
ALT
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
2 - 1
ALE
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 1
LOB
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |