Dorados vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
49.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
TIJ
1 - 0
DOR
44%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 1
DOR
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DOR
2 - 1
CAZ
51%
25%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
DOR
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DOR
1 - 0
ORI
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
NEC
5 - 1
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
NEC
19%
26%
55%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 0
MER
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 3
NEC
16%
26%
58%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 1
UAT
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |