Dorados vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
VER
2 - 0
DOR
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LAP
3 - 1
DOR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 0
LAP
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 2
DOR
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 1
NEC
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 1
UAT
37%
27%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 2
NEC
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAZ
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MER
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |