Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
13º
14º
15º
5
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 30 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 27 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 23 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 20 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 18 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 17 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 17 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 17 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 15 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 13 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 13 |
15º
|
25% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3% | 2% |
|
Final Series
|
18% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 84% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
DOR
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 3
CDT
18%
23%
60%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 1
DOR
74%
17%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 1
UDG
21%
26%
54%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 0
DOR
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Correcaminos UAT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UDG
3 - 1
UAT
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 0
UAT
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
UAT
5 - 1
CAP
36%
25%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TIA
3 - 2
UAT
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |