Dorados vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ZAC
3 - 0
DOR
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 1
PUE
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DOR
3 - 0
JUA
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
DOR
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 1
TEP
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JUA
2 - 1
CIM
71%
20%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CIM
1 - 1
TEP
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
UAP
1 - 1
CIM
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 3
LOB
20%
26%
54%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 2
CIM
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |