Donn FK vs IK Start analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
77.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donn FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FFK
1 - 2
DON
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
DON
2 - 0
FVI
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
TFC
8 - 0
DON
83%
11%
5%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | +12 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
DON
1 - 2
KJE
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
FRI
0 - 0
DON
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
IK Start
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RAN
1 - 1
IKS
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SDF
1 - 1
IKS
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
IKS
3 - 1
HAM
62%
21%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
S08
4 - 4
IKS
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
IKS
1 - 6
TRO
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -2 |