Foshan Nanshi vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
15º
13º
44
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 55 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 48 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 46 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 44 |
8º
|
54% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
46.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 26 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 31.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foshan Nanshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
QFC
0 - 0
DUF
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DUF
0 - 0
YUN
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DUF
2 - 0
JXF
31%
26%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ANH
1 - 0
DUF
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DUF
1 - 0
SHA
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 1
HKF
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
ANH
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
QYI
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
YAN
1 - 0
GUA
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |