Dongen vs HSC 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
17º
18º
17º
51
2º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
DON
2 - 3
OSS
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ADO
2 - 1
DON
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DON
0 - 2
DEM
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
USV
4 - 1
DON
60%
21%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
DON
0 - 2
EVV
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
HSC
6 - 0
JOS
77%
14%
8%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HSC
5 - 0
DEM
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GVV
0 - 1
HSC
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
HSC
1 - 2
BAR
42%
24%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GVV
3 - 1
HSC
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |